CD Berceo vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
9º
7º
0
12º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 78 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 72 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 72 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 57 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 54 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 52 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 46 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 39 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 34 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 33 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 33 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 21 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Berceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BER
4 - 0
AGO
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 0
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TED
2 - 0
BER
22%
23%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BER
3 - 2
BAL
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 0
BER
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
YAG
79%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
YAG
0 - 5
NAX
18%
19%
64%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 2
YAG
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
YAG
3 - 5
RAP
60%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 2
YAG
25%
22%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |