Berazategui vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LAM
2 - 1
BER
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RPI
2 - 1
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
CLA
41%
26%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LAF
1 - 2
BER
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BER
1 - 2
DOC
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
CCO
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 3
VIC
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
4 - 0
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |