Berazategui vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 0
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
CCO
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VSC
3 - 1
BER
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
BER
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BER
2 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
VIC
42%
25%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 4
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 2
POR
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
CAÑ
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |