Berazategui vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 0
BER
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
BER
2 - 3
CLA
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 0
BER
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 3
BER
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ARM
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
LUJ
1 - 1
ALE
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
LUJ
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
LUJ
1 - 4
LAF
40%
27%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 1
LUJ
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |