Berazategui vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 1
BER
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
ITA
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
BER
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
MID
38%
26%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 2
BER
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
VSC
0 - 1
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAÑ
2 - 2
EXC
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |