Berazategui vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
BER
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
BER
0 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
CCO
0 - 0
BER
45%
25%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
BER
2 - 3
SMA
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BER
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CCO
1 - 0
ARM
35%
24%
40%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 1
SMA
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 2
ARM
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |