Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Beograd XI vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beograd XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1959 |
BEO
4 - 1
CHL
15%
17%
68%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1959 |
CHL
1 - 0
BEO
87%
8%
5%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1958 |
LAU
3 - 5
BEO
80%
11%
9%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 1958 |
BEO
6 - 1
LAU
32%
21%
48%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | +2 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
UDL
0 - 8
FCB
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
OVI
2 - 0
FCB
15%
21%
64%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
FCB
5 - 0
SEV
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ATM
0 - 1
FCB
32%
23%
45%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1959 |
INT
2 - 4
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |