Bentwisch vs Greifswalder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bentwisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 2
BSC
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TOR
4 - 3
BEN
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BEN
0 - 2
LFC
49%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BEN
5 - 0
SSV
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
TEN
3 - 2
BEN
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NEU
1 - 1
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 5
GSC
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
REI
2 - 2
GRE
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
5 - 2
PRE
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SSV
0 - 3
GRE
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |