Bentleigh Greens vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
83.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bentleigh Greens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
KIN
4 - 4
BEN
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
HEU
3 - 0
BEN
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 1
SOU
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
HUM
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 1
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
WPH
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ADE
3 - 1
WPH
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 2
BRI
48%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
WPH
0 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |