Benjamin Aceval vs Presidente Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benjamin Aceval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
BEN
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 1
COL
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CER
0 - 0
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 2
GEN
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 3
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Presidente Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
PHA
1 - 0
FER
50%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 1
PHA
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PHA
0 - 1
GEN
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
COL
1 - 1
PHA
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
PHA
0 - 1
SPT
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |