Baník Ostrava II vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
15º
15º
8
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 63 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 55 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 46 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 44 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 40 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 40 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 39 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 38 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 37 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 37 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 33 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Ostrava II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOI
1 - 3
VYS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FKM
1 - 2
BOI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
BOI
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 4
BOI
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
BOI
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ZBR
1 - 6
SLO
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
OPA
52%
23%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
VIZ
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UST
1 - 4
SLO
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
SLI
86%
10%
5%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |