Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Benidorm vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benidorm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
BEN
5 - 0
DEN
78%
16%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
DEN
1 - 2
BEN
33%
31%
36%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ALC
2 - 0
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
BEN
0 - 1
HER
41%
29%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
BEN
0 - 2
YEC
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1991 |
VIL
2 - 0
JAV
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
JAV
1 - 0
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
SDS
1 - 1
VIL
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALB
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
VIN
1 - 2
VIL
22%
29%
49%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |