Benfica vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
7%
19%
75%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SLB
0 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ZEN
3 - 2
DIN
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 1
ZEN
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
ZEN
3 - 0
SDL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ZEN
2 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
SDL
0 - 1
ZEN
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |