Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 0
SLB
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEI
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 3
SLB
12%
22%
66%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
SLB
0 - 1
MUD
45%
24%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
VST
0 - 1
AVE
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
POR
5 - 2
VST
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
VST
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VST
3 - 1
MAR
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
VST
8%
16%
76%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | -1 |