Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 2
BYM
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 0
SLB
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VST
0 - 1
BEL
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 2
VST
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
VST
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VST
0 - 1
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -3 |