Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 2
VST
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
43%
25%
33%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 2
VST
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
VST
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
VST
2 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 2
VST
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VST
2 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |