Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1996 |
SLB
5 - 1
RCH
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
GFC
0 - 3
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPB
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
VST
4 - 0
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
FCP
2 - 2
VST
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
VST
4 - 1
UNM
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
BMA
1 - 1
VST
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
VST
0 - 0
SPB
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |