Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SLB
9 - 0
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1985 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
VST
3 - 1
SPC
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
VST
0 - 0
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
SCP
4 - 0
VST
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
VST
1 - 1
PEN
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |