Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1981 |
FCP
4 - 1
SLB
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 3
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1981 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACV
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 4
SLB
18%
28%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
VST
2 - 0
BOA
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
VST
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
VST
0 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
21%
30%
50%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |