Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
11%
22%
67%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
UJP
3 - 1
SLB
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
SLB
7 - 1
EST
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 0
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
VST
1 - 3
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
VST
29%
30%
42%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
VST
2 - 0
BMA
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
LEX
1 - 1
VST
28%
29%
43%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |