Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
SLB
0 - 0
CZJ
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 2
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
CZJ
1 - 1
SLB
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ACA
1 - 2
VST
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
VST
2 - 3
OLH
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 3
VST
37%
28%
36%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |