Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 4
SLB
10%
15%
76%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCP
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
5 - 0
LAC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
6 - 0
TOR
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 6
SLB
21%
21%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SPB
2 - 1
VST
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
VST
1 - 2
ACA
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 0
VST
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
VST
1 - 0
LEX
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |