Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 4-5
Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
SLB
43%
21%
36%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 0
RAP
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1960 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1960 |
VST
1 - 1
LGC
60%
21%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VIT
0 - 1
VST
70%
17%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |