Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1959 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
48%
22%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1959 |
SLB
3 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1959 |
BEL
3 - 1
SLB
38%
22%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
SPB
3 - 2
VST
55%
20%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VST
3 - 1
FCB
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
BEL
9 - 1
VST
77%
13%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
SPC
5 - 2
VST
48%
22%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |