Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 5
SLB
10%
16%
74%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 2
FAB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 2
SLB
41%
22%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 0
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
VST
6 - 1
SPB
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
ATL
3 - 1
VST
55%
21%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
VST
3 - 3
SPC
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
VST
3 - 1
TOR
70%
16%
13%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
FAB
3 - 2
VST
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |