Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPC
3 - 2
SLB
23%
19%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SLB
0 - 2
FCP
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
SPB
3 - 1
SLB
17%
18%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SLB
1 - 1
ATL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
61%
17%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
VST
2 - 1
OLH
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
BOA
3 - 2
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
VST
2 - 1
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |