Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.6%
6.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
61%
17%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 3
SLB
6%
12%
82%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
OEL
1 - 0
SLB
23%
19%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ATL
4 - 2
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VST
3 - 2
SPB
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 0
VST
56%
19%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
29%
22%
49%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |