Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
4
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
7.9%
5.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1945 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
66%
16%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1945 |
SLB
2 - 3
SCP
61%
17%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1945 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
67%
16%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
BEL
5 - 4
SLB
46%
20%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 1
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1945 |
VST
0 - 3
OLH
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1945 |
OLH
0 - 2
VST
67%
16%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
BOA
2 - 1
VST
39%
22%
40%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
VST
3 - 0
BOA
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
VIT
2 - 7
VST
43%
21%
36%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |