Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.5%
5.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
FCP
79%
11%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
OLH
1 - 3
SLB
26%
20%
54%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
SLB
1 - 2
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
SLB
4 - 1
SCP
58%
18%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
29%
22%
49%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
VST
3 - 2
OLH
55%
20%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
67%
16%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
SAL
3 - 5
VST
40%
22%
38%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
VST
5 - 3
EST
46%
21%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
VST
2 - 3
BEL
20%
19%
61%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |