Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
4.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
6%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 4
OLH
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 4
SCP
48%
20%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ATL
3 - 1
SLB
17%
18%
65%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
VST
2 - 1
SAL
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
VST
1 - 3
BEL
13%
17%
71%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
VST
5 - 3
VIT
53%
21%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
OLH
8 - 0
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |