Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6%
2.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
7 - 2
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
APO
1 - 5
SLB
8%
14%
78%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
4 - 2
SLB
66%
16%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
VST
2 - 0
APO
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 0
VST
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 4
FCP
11%
16%
73%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 1
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |