Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1988 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAF
100%
0%
0%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
21%
29%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1988 |
SLB
4 - 1
SAL
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1988 |
GFC
0 - 2
VIT
37%
24%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 1
GFC
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
FAR
2 - 1
VIT
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
VIT
0 - 1
ESP
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |