Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
SLB
7 - 2
REG
99%
1%
0%
|
88 | 19 | 69 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 0
RIO
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 1
SLB
7%
16%
76%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 0
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 0
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIT
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |