Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 0
SLB
34%
22%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
BMA
0 - 9
SLB
8%
14%
79%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
VST
3 - 2
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1967 |
SPB
5 - 0
VIT
59%
19%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
VIT
1 - 2
SPB
71%
15%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
FCP
4 - 1
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |