Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
BMA
95%
3%
1%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
SAC
3 - 1
SLB
35%
23%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIT
23%
22%
55%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCP
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 3
VIT
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
VIT
0 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 2
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |