Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
SEI
0 - 4
SLB
8%
13%
79%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 2
VST
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 4
SLB
10%
15%
76%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCP
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
SLB
5 - 0
LAC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 1
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 1
VIT
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
VIT
4 - 0
LEX
65%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |