Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
SLB
9 - 0
BOA
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
LGC
2 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
VIT
0 - 3
SCP
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
BOA
2 - 1
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
26%
23%
50%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
LGC
1 - 0
VIT
49%
23%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |