Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 0
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
6 - 0
EST
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 3
SLB
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
3 - 1
LGC
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SCP
4 - 0
VIT
92%
6%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
VIT
0 - 0
VST
55%
21%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 3
VIT
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
VIT
6 - 1
ACA
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |