Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
EST
1 - 1
SLB
21%
19%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
61%
17%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
33%
21%
46%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 1
FCB
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 7
SLB
5%
10%
85%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
VIT
1 - 0
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
41%
22%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
3 - 0
VIT
71%
17%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
VIT
2 - 4
FCP
33%
23%
44%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
BOA
4 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
15%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |