Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
EST
0 - 7
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 4
SLB
16%
17%
67%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPC
3 - 2
SLB
23%
19%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
VIT
6 - 0
OLH
63%
18%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
BOA
3 - 0
VIT
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACA
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
VIT
1 - 2
EST
51%
21%
28%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
73%
16%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |