Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 6
SLB
6%
12%
83%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
SLB
4 - 2
BOA
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
51%
20%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
SLB
7 - 2
SCP
62%
17%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
SLE
0 - 4
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 1
ATL
41%
21%
38%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
VST
3 - 1
VIT
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
66%
17%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
VIT
1 - 0
OLI
81%
11%
8%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIT
57%
19%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |