Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.6%
7.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
SCP
1 - 4
SLB
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
FCP
4 - 1
SLB
66%
17%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
SLB
8 - 1
OLH
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
ACA
3 - 1
SLB
36%
22%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
VIT
3 - 0
CAR
78%
13%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
LEC
3 - 1
VIT
28%
22%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 4
FCB
71%
16%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
APO
2 - 0
VIT
25%
21%
54%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
SCP
9 - 1
VIT
90%
6%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |