Benfica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 0
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
SLB
2 - 2
SAL
73%
19%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1997 |
BOA
0 - 0
SLB
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOA
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
VIT
5 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
VAR
1 - 1
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
FAR
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
33%
30%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |