Benfica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 0
JUV
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
SLB
6 - 0
SAN
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
5 - 1
FCB
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
15%
24%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |