Benfica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.2%
Win probability
4.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.7%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.5%
7-0
4.6%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.4%
6-0
7.1%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.4%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.6%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.4%
3.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.7%
1.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
39%
23%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
RMA
2 - 1
SLB
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 3
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 2
BEL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
FAB
2 - 1
VAR
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
VAR
5 - 1
LEX
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |