Benfica vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
BOA
1 - 4
SLB
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 3
SLB
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 5
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 0
VST
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
3 - 1
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 2
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
UFT
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |