Benfica vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
4.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.9%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.5%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.7%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
SLB
3 - 2
ACA
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
FAB
3 - 0
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SLB
0 - 0
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
SCP
0 - 0
SLB
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
UFT
1 - 3
VAR
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
UFT
0 - 2
FCP
29%
23%
49%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
LEX
1 - 2
UFT
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
35%
22%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
SAN
4 - 1
UFT
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |