Benfica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.2%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
POR
1 - 1
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BOA
2 - 1
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
SLB
5 - 1
ESP
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
19%
23%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
UDL
1 - 0
BOA
40%
29%
30%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ESP
3 - 1
UDL
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
PEN
3 - 1
UDL
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1982 |
UDL
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
SPB
3 - 1
UDL
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |