Benfica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BRA
0 - 2
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 37 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
SLB
5 - 0
BMA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
UDL
0 - 1
POR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
SPB
0 - 0
UDL
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
UDL
2 - 1
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
BOA
3 - 0
UDL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
UDL
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |