Champions League Last 16
Global 7-4
Benfica vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 3
SLB
25%
23%
51%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
SLB
4 - 1
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
SAL
0 - 2
SLB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
SLB
3 - 0
HOM
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
UJP
1 - 2
BIR
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
BIR
3 - 2
UJP
69%
17%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
UJP
3 - 0
CRV
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
CRV
1 - 2
UJP
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
UJP
1 - 0
ZAG
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 14 | 60 | 0 |